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2024-12-14 00:37:30

If we can continue to cut interest rates in December, it will undoubtedly be a big plus for A shares, and the pressure on the exchange rate will be further reduced, which may become a turning point in the short term.The latest progress of stamp duty in Hong Kong has come!This is a real long-term positive, which is manifested in three aspects: first, it is conducive to attracting investors to invest in the broad-based index through personal pension accounts; Second, it is helpful to inject new long-term funds into the capital market, optimize the investor structure, stabilize the market and promote the healthy development of the capital market; Third, it reflects the care of the regulatory authorities for the capital market and helps to enhance investors' confidence.


If we can continue to cut interest rates in December, it will undoubtedly be a big plus for A shares, and the pressure on the exchange rate will be further reduced, which may become a turning point in the short term.The latest CPI data will be released tonight. The market expects the overall inflation rate to be 2.7%, 0.1 percentage point higher than that in October, and the core inflation rate is expected to be 3.3%, which is the same as that in October. Although the forecast data shows that the suppression of inflation by monetary policy is close to stagnation, it has dropped sharply compared with the previous peak of 9%. At present, the latest FEDWATCH data shows that the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates next Tuesday is over 80%.The latest news of personal pension fund, incremental funds are coming!


The previous wave of adjustment of the Hang Seng Index was to step back on the long-term trend line at the daily level, which gained support and rebounded recently. Today, it closed above the offensive line, and the long-term trend at the daily level remains intact. On the monthly level, it fell below the offensive line last month, but it is above the offensive line at present, and it closed above 19,738 points this month. The problem is not big, and the long-term trend remains intact, and there is a basis for further strength.Shanghai stock exchange recently releasedSo will heavyweights and large-cap stocks exert their strength? Looking at the trend of SSE 50, it is still very possible, because at present, the monthly trend of SSE 50 index is intact, and the index remains above the offensive line and above the long-term trend line. At present, it has the foundation to start a big market. Looking back, the index must remain above the monthly offensive line in all big markets, so this is a prerequisite. Since it is also available now, we can certainly expect something.

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